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Bank of America Q1 earnings reveal 4 big ‘buy’ signals

Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) is extending gains on Apr. 15 after reporting Q1 results that blew past Street estimates, fueled by a resurgence in investment banking and resilient consumer activity.

Investors cheered as it posted a 25% year-over-year increase in earnings per share (EPS) and a surprise beat in net interest income (NII), which rose 9% despite a “fluctuating” rate environment.

More importantly, beyond solid headline numbers, there were four other under the surface updates in the earnings release that warrant buying the Bank of America stock that remains down over 4% year-to-date.

BAC stock is a ‘buy’ on sticky deposits growth

While many regional banks have struggled with deposit flight, BofA has achieved an “incredible” feat: 11 consecutive quarters of sequential average deposit growth.

In Q1, average deposit balances climbed 3% year-over-year to $2.02 trillion.

This isn’t just “hot money” – 91% of the company’s 38.5 million consumer checking accounts are primary accounts, which are notoriously “sticky” and provide a low-cost funding base (the envy of the industry).

This stability is bullish of BAC shares as it allows the bank to maintain a massive liquidity source of $960 billion, offering a durable cushion and cheap engine for future loan growth as the economy continues to expand.

Investment banking strength warrants buying BAC shares

Bank of America shares are worth buying also because the Q1 release signals a massive awakening in the capital markets.

The bank recorded a 21% jump in total investment banking fees to $1.8 billion, driven by a 25% increase in earnings per share and “strong momentum” to start the year.

Even more impressive was the Global Markets segment, which delivered its 16th straight quarter of year-over-year increase in “sales and trading” revenue.  

Equities revenue, in particular, skyrocketed by 30% to $2.8 billion due to heightened client activity.

This diversified sales base proves that BAC is no longer just a traditional lender; it is a high-octane fee-generating machine positioned to capitalise on market volatility and the reopening of the IPO and M&A market.

Disciplined operating leverage and efficiency

Management’s “Responsible Growth” strategy is also paying off in the form of powerful operating leverage.

In Q1, the Bank of America produced 290 basis points of operating leverage, as revenue growth of 7% significantly outpaced the 4% increase in noninterest expenses.

The efficiency ratio improved by 170 basis points to 61%, a critical metric that shows the firm is becoming leaner even as it invests in technology.

By keeping a lid on costs while revenue scales, thanks to digital logins hitting 4.3 billion and 71% of sales being digitally enabled, BAC stock is poised to win a larger portion of every new dollar of revenue that drops straight to the bottom line.

Superior credit quality and reserve stability

Despite fears of a consumer slowdown, BofA’s credit quality remains remarkably stable, which is perhaps the strongest ‘buy’ signal of all.

Provision for credit losses actually “decreased” to $1.3 billion in fiscal Q1 from $1.5 billion a year ago.

Net charge-offs remained manageable at $1.4 billion, with the bank noting that increases from the previous quarter were largely due to predictable credit card seasonality.

With an allowance for credit losses of $14.3 billion and a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 11.2% of, well above regulatory requirements, the bank stock is in a position of strength.

This safety net allows the Bank of America to aggressively return $9.3 billion to shareholders this quarter alone through dividends and buybacks.

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